Feeds:
Posts
Comments

Archive for June, 2017

Selections for the final day of Royal Ascot 2017 can be found below.

Again, with the favourable E/W terms on offer, I’d suggest 1PT E/W on each.

All odds quoted are Bet365 Best Odds Guaranteed – principal selections in BOLD.

230 – MASAR @ 13/2 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

305 – CENTRAL SQUARE @ 8/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

340 – WINGS OF DESIRE @ 6/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

420 – THE TIN MAN @ 6/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

500 – RAUCOUS @ 12/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4,5)

500 – Certificate @ 16/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4,5)

500 – Eastern Impact @ 16/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4,5)

535 – WINNING STORY @ 9/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

535 – Fun Mac @ 10/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

535 – Us Army Ranger @ 6/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

TOTAL STAKE = 20PTS

NAP – RAUCOUS @ 12/1

NB – CENTRAL SQUARE @ 8/1

IWAC – WINNING STORY @ 9/1

Additional Selections added @ 1PM below: UPDATED TOTAL STAKE = 26PTS

305 – Khairaat @ 9/2 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

340 – Dal Harralid @ 8/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

420 – Tasleet @ 8/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

 

 

 

Advertisements

Read Full Post »

Short of time this evening so apologies but straight to the selections.

With the favourable E/W terms on offer I suggest the following all to 1PT E/W which will hopefully result in a nice profit on the day! All with Bet365 Best Odds Guaranteed – principal selection in BOLD.

230 – BLACK SAILS @ 8/1  (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

230 – Clemmie @ 6/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

305 – BEST SOLUTION @ 7/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

305 – Permian @ 7/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

340 – BLUE POINT @ 11/2 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

340 – Harry Angel @ 10/3 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

420 – TOMYRIS @ 15/2 (1/4 Odds 1,2 W/O Winter)

420 – Roly Poly @ 15/2 (1/4 Odds 1,2 W/O Winter)

500 – TIME TO STUDY @ 11/2 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

500 – Wisconsin @ 9/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

500 – Stradivarius @ 9/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3)

535 – APPEARED @ 6/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

535 – Cape Cova @ 12/1 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

535 – Wadigor @ 13/2 (1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4)

TOTAL STAKE = 28 PTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

Read Full Post »

Royal Ascot 2017 Preview – Day 3

Tomorrow’s selections with reasoning can be found below. All odds quoted are BET365 B.O.G.

230 – Norfolk Stakes

MAIN SELECTION : SANTRY (IWAC) @ 13/2

Looks well drawn and unbeaten with both wins coming at 5f. The concern is the ground but there is enough value in the price to compensate for that unknown. Will need to improve but every chance that he can do so.

Saver : Havana Grey @ 7/1

Similarly looks well drawn and comes here on the back of three solid runs including two victories at 5f. Sets the standard for the others to aim at and will love the ground.

305 – Hampton Court Stakes

MAIN SELECTION : ORDEROFTHEGARTER (NB) @ 13/2

Down in grade after running in the French Derby last time out and looks as though still has improvement to come at this trip (by Galileo). Prominent tactics could prove positive and there’s nobody better than Ryan Moore to carry out such tactics to perfection.

Saver : Tamleek @ 9/1

Has solid form and looks like the drop back in trip will suit. Will relish the ground and seems overpriced.

340 – Ribblesdale Stakes

MAIN SELECTION : ASTRONOMY’S CHOICE @ 10/1

This is only her third start but looks a good value alternative in this upped to 1m4f for the first time. Will relish the ground and I can see her being delivered late for a turn of foot.

Saver : Coronet @ 7/1

Disappointed somewhat when quietly fancied for the Oaks but wouldn’t be the first to not handle Epsom and bounce back. Like her stablemate Astronomy’s Choice has improvement to come at this trip and she can go well.

420 – Gold Cup

It seems obvious to play in the without the favourite market as Order Of St George seems a very likely winner.

MAIN SELECTION : BIG ORANGE @ 4/1 (W/O THE FAV.)

There are few more honest horses in training than Big Orange and assuming he gets a well judged ride from the front, he can go well. He loves to hear his hooves rattle having won 4/5 races on this type of ground and 4/1 seems a generous price.

Saver : Torcedor @ 17/2 (W/O The Fav.)

There is a good chance there is a lot of improvement to come upped to this extreme distance. His latest defeat of today’s favourite obviously reads well albeit over a shorter trip but at the odds is worth an interest.

500 – Britannia Stakes

MAIN SELECTION : TRICORN @ 14/1

The concern is the low draw with all of the action down the stands side yesterday but there is too much upside in the price to make this one a sporting selection. Won the only race he has contested on turf at Newmarket on similar ground to today’s and he can go well.

Saver 1 : Ronald R @ 14/1

Looks to have an even worse draw on paper than Tricorn but similarly there is enough in the price to hope that doesn’t prove too much of a disadvantage. He showed a really willing attitude when winning last time out which will stand him in good stead for today’s test.

Saver 2 : City Of Joy @ 9/1

Drawn 17 it should be a bit more straight forward for this fella but it is reflected in the price. Add in the Stoute / Moore combination though and it could be argued that there is still some value there. Will love the ground, has already won in this grade and is unbeaten at this trip.

535 – King George V Stakes

MAIN SELECTION : HOMESMAN (NAP) @ 14/1

Putting up a best bet of the day in a 19 runner handicap obviously comes with risks but I will be flabbergasted if this goes off anywhere like 14/1 by the off. He does seems to have his own ideas about the game a little bit but has bundles of talent and there is no better horseman than Ryan Moore to coax him into it and produce him at the right time.

Saver 1 : Bin Battuta @ 14/1

The hope here is that a step up in trip and first time visor can bring about some improvement. It is needed but at the prices it is a chance worth taking. On paper, this Dubawi colt should relish the trip and ground but today is the day to prove it.

Saver 2 : Sofia’s Rock @ 15/2

A more obvious one whose trainer has traditionally performed well at this meeting. This looks like a typical horse he has excelled with over the years and with trip and ground proven he is certainly worth a saver.

NAP : HOMESMAN @ 14/1

NB : ORDEROFTHEGARTER @ 13/2

IWAC : SANTRY @ 13/2

Read Full Post »

Royal Ascot 2017 Preview – Day 2

NB: ODDS QUOTED ARE FROM BET365 BEST ODDS GUARANTEED.

230 – Jersey Stakes

A 20 runner Group 3 to kick off Day 2 of the Royal Meeting. The Frenchman Le Brivido heads the market at 10/3 and he comes here with solid form. Dream Castle is next in at 7/2 and his second to Barney Roy in The Greenham had a big boost on Day 1  – he also looked a little unlucky in the 2000 Guineas. At the prices though I think there is more value to focus outside of the front two. Whitecliffsofdover has plenty of experience and at 10/1 is appealing for leading connections – if the blinkers have the desired effect he can outrun those odds. The selection though is John Gosden’s DABAN (NB) at a tempting looking 6/1. She ran a cracker in the 1000 Guineas behind Winter who has franked the form in emphatic style since – the drop back to 7f should be just the ticket and she looks overpriced.

305 – Queen Mary Stakes

A very slanted looking book with Wesley Ward’s Happy Like A Fool clear 5/4 favourite. It seems an obvious thing to take her out of the equation and have a play in the W/O the favourite market. Of the remaining 23 runners I think a couple are of interest. Chica La Habana is 15/2 in the W/O the favourite market and that seems reasonable value. She won her only start on debut just 11 days ago and it is interesting they pitch her in here quickly after that effort. The selection though at a generous looking 17/2 is MRS GALLAGHER. She also won on her only start over course and cistance on quickish ground showing a determined attitude and looks overlooked in the market.

340 – Duke Of Cambridge Stakes

 Just the 15 runners go to post for this Group 2 but with 9 of those at odds of 28/1 or more it can pay to focus on the top end of the market. Last year’s Coronation Stakes winner Qemah has lots of ticks in boxes but today’s quicker conditions could be her undoing. French raider Usherette won this race last year but like Qemah would have preferred softer ground so can be looked over. The ex South African Smart Call is of significant interest though for the Stoute/Moore combination at a tempting 8/1. She looks as though she will relish the ground and trip having had a pipe opener at York recently to blow away the cobwebs. I just can’t get away though from the 5/2 market leader LAUGH ALOUD (NAP). She was devastating at Epsom on Derby Day showing an impressive turn of foot. With the large field and likely strong gallop expected to suit her, along with a 100% record on quick ground she rates the best bet on the card.

420 – Prince Of Wales’s Stakes

Day 2’s Group 1 feature has a much more manageable 8 runners and boasts some quality performers. Jack Hobbs has been well touted for this following his impressive Dubai return – at 11/4 though I think we need to look elsewhere. Ulysses has also been well touted in recent weeks and has the look a typical Stoute improver with age – he too though is well found in the market at a skinny 10/3.  At shorter odds, the globe trotting Highland Reel heads the market at 5/2 and despite the shorter odds looks much better value than the other two at the front of the market to me. Quite simply, he has been there and done it and is a top class performer – they will all have to go some to beat him but my one doubt is the trip – I think he may be better over a bit further. For that reason, a sporting selection at 8/1 is DECORATED KNIGHT (IWAC). Roger Charlton’s 5YO looks an improving horse and was really impressive in the Tattersalls Gold Cup last time out. He will love the quick conditions and is definitely the value bet in the race.

500 – Royal Hunt Cup

A 30 runner cavalry charge where luck in running is obviously going to be needed – I will put 3 up against the field. G K Chesterton looks a little overpriced at 14/1 – he is yet to fully prove himself on the ground but if he handles it he has plenty of upside. The same can also be said for fellow 14/1 shot Ballet Concerto. He will handle the ground, hails from the Stoute stable and with Ryan Moore on board I can see him going off shorter. The main selection though is FASTNET TEMPEST. He has ticks in every box today and will relish the conditions but more importantly the race should be set up perfectly for his late run – he has a devastating late burst of speed so don’t expect to see him until late!

535 – Sandringham Handicap

From a 30 runner cavalry charge to a 24 runner one so again I will put up 3 against the field. Despite running from out of the handicap, Queen Of Time can go well at 12/1 for Henry Candy. She has won her last two starts, will go on the ground and is good value to outrun her odds up in class. Rain Goddess comes from a different route having contested the  Group 1 French 1000 Guineas last time out and the drop back into handicap company means she has to be of interest and 11/1 is appealing. The principal selection is REALLY SPECIAL. She will relish the step back up to a mile and will love the ground. She is back off a break today but has the look of a filly that has loads of improvement to come and at 12/1 seems significantly overpriced.

NAP – LAUGH ALOUD @ 5/2

NB – DABAN @ 6/1

IWAC – DECORATED KNIGHT @ 8/1

Read Full Post »

Royal Ascot Preview 2017 – Day 1

NB: ODDS QUOTED ARE FROM BET365 BEST ODDS GUARANTEED.

230 – Queen Anne Stakes

An intriguing start to this year’s Royal Meeting and despite there being 16 runners going to post, it seems a fairly obvious race to focus on the front of the market. Ribchester heads the market at 5/6 following his Lockinge win but to my mind had an easy lead that day on much softer ground than he’ll encounter today. In 4 attempts he has never won on good ground or faster and he’s no odds on shot in my book. Because of his cramped odds it does create some good value behind him in the market. Mutakayyef is trading at 13/2 as I write this and is overpriced. Before a couple of globe trotting efforts, he has some very solid form and has ticks in every box today. The selection though has to be LIGHTENING SPEAR (NB) at 6/1. He will love the prevailing fast conditions, has solid form at the course including a 3rd in this race last year and looks laid out for a big run here.

305 – Coventry Stakes

This race is always about finding the untapped potential with no horse having raced more than 3 times. An open looking renewal this year with favourite Brother Bear heading the market at 9/2. He looks open to plenty of the improvement that is needed and can go well. The two to focus on here though in my book are De Bruyne Horse and DENAAR with slight preference for the latter. Richard Hannon’s De Bruyne Horse was an emphatic winner on his second start and improved again in winning the prestigious Woodcote at the Epsom Derby meeting – he sets the standard for them all to aim at. Also from the powerful Hannon stable though is DENAAR (IWAC) who appeals at the 8/1 on offer. After a debut win on the All Weather at Chelmsford he improved to win at Newbury last time and the hope is that his first try on faster ground will bring about significant improvement. Nobody rides Ascot better than Frankie Dettori and he is fancied to give him an opening day winner.

340 – King’s Stand Stakes

This looks a difficult race to get a good handle on to me with the front three in the market Lady Aurelia and Marsha as 3/1 Joint Favourites and Signs Of Blessing third in at 11/2. I would have slight preference for Lady Aurelia but all three seem about the right price. In search of some value, I think it is worth taking a couple at bigger prices. Muthmir seems overpriced at 14/1 – he is another who will love the ground conditions and despite being inconsistent he has the ability to outrun his odds. A chance though is taken with PRICELESS. Clive Cox’s 4 year old has plenty going for him and could be an improving horse. His 5f win in the Temple Stakes last time out on firm ground reads well for this test and at 12/1 is a sporting selection.

420 – St James’s Palace Stakes

The Day 1 feature in terms of status but a horrible betting race in the main market with Churchill at 4/6 and Barney Roy at 9/4. The chances are that one of them will win but this seems an obvious race to have a go in the without the front 2 market. This puts Thunder Snow in as 11/10 Favourite and he has to be taken on at those odds. He comes here via Meydan, Churchill Downs and the Curragh and those exertions may well catch up with him. Lancaster Bomber appeals at the available 9/2 – he often runs solid races without getting his head in front at the highest level and it is easy to see him doing the same here. Clear preference though is for RIVET, trading at 7/2 as we speak – I would have him favourite in the without the front two market in my book. He returns to a mile after an attempt in the French Derby to stretch his stamina. Coming back in trip along with much more suitable ground means he is of significant interest.

500 – Ascot Stakes

A much more open betting race with many of the top National Hunt yards represented. Alan King has two live contenders in Who Dares Wins and Oceane. At the prices, the latter would be of more interest. Beyond Conceit has the look of a horse who has been laid out for this. He ran some cracking races for Nicky Henderson over hurdles this year after three years off the track through injury including a 6th in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival and a 2nd in the Sefton Novices Hurdle at Aintree.The fact that they persevered with this 8YO tells us something and at 15/2 he is not passed over lightly. The selection though has to be THOMAS HOBSON (NAP). Willie Mullins’ charge has been well found in the market but at the overnight 4/1 still appeals as some value to me – I can see him going off shorter than that especially with the assistance of Ryan Moore in the saddle. He is not obviously well handicapped but he was a decent horse for John Gosden on the level back in the day and has obviously been targeted at this – he is a confident selection.

535 – Windsor Castle Stakes

A trappy looking contest to finish Day 1. Declarationofpeace heads the market at 7/2 for the all conquering O’Brien / Moore combination. The Wesley Ward duo of Nootka Sound and Elizabeth Darcy are next in at 5/1 and 6/1 but your guess is as good as mine as to their ability or potential. The suggestion then is to look outside of the front three for some value. Another Batt appeals at the 12/1 on offer for the flying Silvestre De Sousa, but the selection is ROUSSEL. A winner of his sole start for Charlie Appleby, this expensive purchase has bags of potential improvement in him and can go well at rewarding odds.

NAP – THOMAS HOBSON @ 4/1

NB – LIGHTENING SPEAR @ 6/1

IWAC – DENAAR @ 8/1

Read Full Post »